In election methods, the "Smith Set" is the subset of all candidates that individually have an advantage against all candidates outside of that set. We define a "pseudo-Smith Set" for FBS as the list of teams that are undefeated, or whose only losses are to undefeated teams (or to teams whose only losses are to undefeated teams.)
After two weeks almost all of FBS is still in the Smith Set. You can see how this works - after week 1 every team is either 1-0 or has only lost to a team that is 1-0. After week 2, all teams are 2-0 so are in, or 1-1 with the loss being to a 2-0 team, or 0-2 with losses to the 2-0 teams or one of those and to one of the 1-1 teams whose loss is to a 2-0 team.
The (pseudo-) Smith Set can only become smaller as the season progresses, and at some point it may cease to exist. We'll track it, along with some related items here.
I'll provide updates more or less weekly, especially for the FBS version:
Week | FBS pseudo-Smith Set | FBS Connectivity | |
---|---|---|---|
2 | Week 2 | Connectivity week 2 | |
6 | Week 6 | Connectivity week 6 | |
7 | Week 7 | Connectivity week 7 | |
8 | Week 8 | Connectivity week 8 | |
9 | Week 9 | Connectivity week 9 | Down to eight teams after 30 Oct games. |
10 | Week 10 | Connectivity week 10 | |
11 | Week 11 | Connectivity week 11 | |
12 | Week 12 | Connectivity week 12 | |
13 | Week 13 | Connectivity week 13 |
As more games are played, the pseudo-Smith Set can only become smaller. It is interesting to watch the progression of "good wins" becoming inconsequential, or "good losses" turning into bad ones.