2012 Upsets

(Rankings as of 21 Oct 2012 2:43am (US Mountain))

This "surprise" factor combines the scoring and rank difference for games in which the worse-ranked team wins against the better-ranked team.

Surprise = ⌈ (WS - LS)÷8 ⌉ × (WR - LR)

LR
⌈ x ⌉ is the least integer ≥ x
(this is the MOV expressed as # of scores)
WS = Winner's Score
LS = Loser's Score
WR = Winner's Rank
(note - in these games will be > LR)
LR = Loser's Rank
(that of the better-ranked team)

Unranked (non-FBS) teams are arbitrarily assigned a rank of one more than the worst-ranked FBS team.

DateFactorGame
20 Oct3.15#20 Iowa St 10 #41 Oklahoma St 31
6 Oct2.51#35 UCLA 17 #57 California 43
8 Sep1.88#64 Kent St 14 #88 Kentucky 47
27 Sep1.67#18 Stanford 13 #48 Washington 17
6 Oct1.63#19 Florida St 16 #50 North Carolina St 17
8 Sep1.44#39 Penn State 16 #95 Virginia 17
15 Sep1.42#59 Virginia Tech 17 #87 Pittsburgh 35
8 Sep1.28#36 North Carolina 27 #82 Wake Forest 28
22 Sep1.27#100 Central Michigan 32 #44 Iowa 31
15 Sep1.21#24 Arizona St 20 #53 Missouri 24
18 Oct1.14#74 Houston 42 #95 SMU 72
20 Oct1.09#23 Cincinnati 23 #48 Toledo 29
1 Sep0.87#125 Youngstown St 31 #87 Pittsburgh 17
20 Oct0.78#36 North Carolina 30 #64 Duke 33
31 Aug0.74#23 Boise St 13 #40 Michigan St 17
16 Oct0.73#56 Louisiana-Lafayette 23 #97 North Texas 30
8 Sep0.70#78 South Florida 32 #46 Nevada 31
15 Sep0.62#52 Louisiana-Monroe 28 #84 Auburn 31
20 Oct0.59#73 San Diego St 39 #46 Nevada 38
20 Oct0.58#52 Louisiana-Monroe 43 #33 Western Kentucky 42
30 Aug0.54#125 McNeese St 27 #81 Middle Tennessee St 21
1 Sep0.49#86 Texas St-San Marcos 30 #74 Houston 13
1 Sep0.41#47 Ohio U. 24 #39 Penn State 14
15 Sep0.41#51 Brigham Young 21 #72 Utah 24
13 Oct0.38#8 South Carolina 21 #11 LSU 23
29 Sep0.32#125 Stony Brook 23 #113 Army 3
15 Sep0.31#84 Connecticut 24 #64 Maryland 21
22 Sep0.24#88 Air Force 35 #109 UNLV 38
15 Sep0.23#125 Cal Poly SLO 24 #102 Wyoming 22
6 Oct0.23#65 Vanderbilt 19 #53 Missouri 15
6 Oct0.23#35 Northwestern 28 #39 Penn State 39
13 Oct0.19#95 SMU 26 #113 Tulane 27
20 Oct0.19#74 New Mexico 23 #88 Air Force 28
22 Sep0.18#116 Colorado 35 #98 Washington St 34
8 Sep0.17#125 North Dakota St 22 #115 Colorado St 7
8 Sep0.15#125 Illinois St 31 #119 Eastern Michigan 14
8 Sep0.15#125 Northern Arizona 17 #109 UNLV 14
30 Aug0.13#125 Eastern Washington 20 #120 Idaho 3
1 Sep0.13#44 Iowa 18 #39 Northern Illinois 17
15 Sep0.13#16 Southern Cal 14 #18 Stanford 21
29 Sep0.13#32 Wisconsin 27 #36 Nebraska 30
5 Oct0.13#45 Utah St 3 #51 Brigham Young 6
6 Oct0.13#104 Rice 10 #117 Memphis 14
22 Sep0.11#84 Connecticut 24 #93 Western Michigan 30
20 Oct0.11#113 Army 38 #119 Eastern Michigan 48
13 Oct0.10#44 Iowa 19 #40 Michigan St 16
13 Oct0.09#101 Texas-San Antonio 14 #104 Rice 34
8 Sep0.08#125 Sacramento St 30 #116 Colorado 28
29 Sep0.08#50 North Carolina St 37 #54 Miami FL 44
6 Oct0.08#105 Boston College 31 #113 Army 34
1 Sep0.07#125 Tennessee-Martin 20 #117 Memphis 17
1 Sep0.06#93 Western Michigan 7 #95 Illinois 24
8 Sep0.06#104 Rice 25 #98 Kansas 24
31 Aug0.04#51 Tennessee 35 #50 North Carolina St 21
20 Oct0.04#112 Florida Atlantic 34 #116 South Alabama 37
20 Oct0.03#36 Nebraska 29 #35 Northwestern 28

© Copyright 2012 Paul Kislanko