2012 Upsets

(Rankings as of 22 Sep 2012 11:58pm (US Mountain))

This "surprise" factor combines the scoring and rank difference for games in which the worse-ranked team wins against the better-ranked team.

Surprise = ⌈ (WS - LS)÷8 ⌉ × (WR - LR)

LR
⌈ x ⌉ is the least integer ≥ x
(this is the MOV expressed as # of scores)
WS = Winner's Score
LS = Loser's Score
WR = Winner's Rank
(note - in these games will be > LR)
LR = Loser's Rank
(that of the better-ranked team)

Unranked (non-FBS) teams are arbitrarily assigned a rank of one more than the worst-ranked FBS team.

DateFactorGame
15 Sep1.84#44 Virginia Tech 17 #71 Pittsburgh 35
1 Sep1.52#125 Youngstown St 31 #71 Pittsburgh 17
22 Sep1.27#109 Central Michigan 32 #48 Iowa 31
22 Sep0.78#16 Kansas St 24 #9 Oklahoma 19
8 Sep0.75#16 Oklahoma St 38 #20 Arizona 59
22 Sep0.65#71 Air Force 35 #117 UNLV 38
22 Sep0.63#39 Oregon St 27 #24 UCLA 20
8 Sep0.56#75 Louisiana-Monroe 34 #48 Arkansas 31
22 Sep0.56#54 South Florida 27 #84 Ball St 31
1 Sep0.43#104 Texas St-San Marcos 30 #91 Houston 13
22 Sep0.42#51 Miami FL 42 #36 Georgia Tech 36
22 Sep0.39#64 Connecticut 24 #89 Western Michigan 30
22 Sep0.36#117 Colorado 35 #86 Washington St 34
8 Sep0.34#29 Wisconsin 7 #39 Oregon St 10
8 Sep0.31#125 North Dakota St 22 #108 Colorado St 7
30 Aug0.29#125 Eastern Washington 20 #114 Idaho 3
15 Sep0.29#125 Cal Poly SLO 24 #97 Wyoming 22
7 Sep0.28#40 Utah 20 #51 Utah St 27
8 Sep0.23#125 Illinois St 31 #116 Eastern Michigan 14
3 Sep0.22#36 Georgia Tech 17 #44 Virginia Tech 20
22 Sep0.20#40 Utah 7 #42 Arizona St 37
8 Sep0.18#65 North Carolina 27 #77 Wake Forest 28
30 Aug0.16#125 McNeese St 27 #108 Middle Tennessee St 21
22 Sep0.16#102 Troy 14 #88 North Texas 7
15 Sep0.14#35 Brigham Young 21 #40 Utah 24
8 Sep0.07#125 Sacramento St 30 #117 Colorado 28
8 Sep0.07#125 Northern Arizona 17 #117 UNLV 14
22 Sep0.07#114 New Mexico 27 #110 New Mexico St 14
1 Sep0.02#125 Tennessee-Martin 20 #122 Memphis 17

© Copyright 2012 Paul Kislanko